The United States has issued a warning to India regarding China’s dual strategy, as outlined in a Pentagon report. The document reveals that while China is working to de-escalate tensions with India along the Line of Actual Control (LAC), it is simultaneously enhancing military cooperation with Pakistan. Notably, in October 2024, India and China agreed to withdraw from friction points along the LAC. Despite this, the Pentagon suggests that China’s agenda includes preventing India from aligning too closely with the U.S. and normalizing relations.
The report also highlights a persistent trust deficit between India and China, particularly over Arunachal Pradesh, a territory claimed by China. Beijing’s assertion over this region parallels its claims on Taiwan and interests in the South China Sea. Furthermore, the Pentagon expresses concern about China’s expanding military assistance to Pakistan, which includes supplying 36 J-10C fighter jets and the joint development of the JF-17 aircraft. Joint military exercises between China and Pakistan and potential future military bases in Pakistan are also noted as issues that could increase tensions near India.
China is reportedly planning to establish military bases in 21 countries, including Bangladesh and Pakistan, aiming to expand its naval and air forces. Such bases could enhance China’s global operational reach and enable intelligence gathering on U.S. military movements. The report warns that these developments are largely secretive, complicating detection by host nations.
The Pentagon’s analysis reveals that while China’s military focuses on the strategic “First Island Chain” from Japan to Malaysia, it is preparing to project its power globally as its military capabilities grow. By 2049, China aims for a “world-class” military, having made significant advancements in nuclear capabilities, long-range missiles, and cyber warfare, evidenced by recent cyberattacks against the U.S.
The report outlines three major targets for the Chinese military by 2027: achieving decisive military capabilities against Taiwan, balancing U.S. nuclear and strategic power, and exerting pressure on neighboring Asian countries. The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) is exploring multiple strategies for a potential takeover of Taiwan, including maritime assaults and missile strikes.
In light of these developments, the U.S. asserts that its goal is not to humiliate China but to ensure that no regional power dominates its allies. The Pentagon emphasizes the importance of dialogue to avoid conflict, highlighting the need to maintain U.S. interests in the Indo-Pacific, especially as China views the U.S. and its allies as obstructive to its progress.
Despite some past improvements in U.S.-China relations, communication has become strained. China perceives U.S. actions, such as arms sales to Taiwan and military deployments, as efforts to hinder its advancement. However, China remains open to dialogue to prevent further deterioration of relations.
