This week’s Dryad Global Maritime Security Threat Advisory (MSTA) underscores ongoing and emerging risks impacting global commercial shipping due to escalating maritime tensions. Key developments arise from the Black Sea, Gulf of Guinea, and Southeast Asia, each facing unique security challenges.
Black Sea: Rising Threats to Shipping
A significant event occurred on March 1, 2025, when a Russian ballistic missile hit the Ukrainian port of Odesa, damaging the Panama-flagged MSC LEVANTE F and injuring two workers. This strike is part of a broader pattern targeting Ukrainian maritime infrastructure, aimed at dissuading European engagement with Ukraine. Observations indicate:
- Increased Russian aggression towards Ukrainian ports.
- Possible retaliatory measures by Ukraine involving limpet mines against Russian-linked vessels.
- Hardening stances from President Zelensky, coupled with increased Western support, which may further provoke Russian military actions.
As a result, stakeholders should prepare for intensified missile and drone strikes, disruption of Black Sea trade routes, and soaring insurance costs for ships operating in the area.
Gulf of Guinea: Declining but Present Piracy Risks
Despite a notable decrease in piracy incidents within the Gulf of Guinea, the region is still characterized by risks of vessel boardings and robberies. The following insights are pertinent:
- No hijackings have occurred in the region so far in 2025.
- Incidents of robbery and boarding remain prevalent, particularly around Nigeria, Togo, and Ghana.
- Coordination among West African naval forces is improving, enhancing security measures.
To mitigate risks, vessels are advised to deploy best management practices, such as maintaining vigilant watch, using secure anchorages, and staying updated with regional threat advisories.
Southeast Asia: Ongoing Security Threats
In the Singapore Strait, recent robberies demonstrate a persistent threat. A chemical tanker was boarded, injuring a crew member, which highlights the danger posed to slow-moving or anchored vessels. Regions of concern include:
- The Singapore Strait, where incidents frequently target vulnerable vessels.
- The Malacca Strait, notorious for theft and armed robberies.
- Ongoing piracy-related occurrences in Indonesia and the Philippines.
To counter these threats, vessels should ensure adequate lighting, lock all access points, and conduct emergency response drills.
Other Maritime Developments
Significant developments also occur in other regions:
- Middle East/Red Sea: NATO warships have boosted patrols due to Houthi attacks on vessels.
- South China Sea: Increased Chinese military exercises near Taiwan raise concerns about maritime safety.
- Mediterranean: There are reports of Russian and Chinese surveillance ships near NATO waters.
Implications for Shipping
The current maritime security landscape, marked by threats in the Black Sea, piracy in Southeast Asia, and geopolitical instability in the Middle East and Indo-Pacific, poses considerable challenges to global trade. Maritime operators must stay informed, enforce robust security measures, and be prepared to adapt to evolving threats. To remain proactive, stakeholders are encouraged to follow real-time updates and expert analyses, such as those provided by Dryad Global.
